Key Takeaways:
•
Western states reiterated their support for Ukraine and their
commitment to the development of Ukraine’s defense industrial base (DIB)
at the 18th Ukraine Defense Contact Group at Ramstein Air Base in
Germany on January 23.
•
NATO concluded contracts on January 23 for the purchase over 200,000
artillery shells, likely either to allow NATO to send additional aid to
Ukraine or to replenish NATO stockpiles.
•
Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces are struggling to
compensate for Ukrainian drone and rear-area strikes at the level
necessary to break out of positional warfare.
•
Russian forces conducted a series of missile strikes against Ukraine on
the night of January 22-23 with a new strike package likely meant to
penetrate Ukrainian air defenses.
•
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met with Iranian Foreign
Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian and Palestinian National Authority
Foreign Minister Riyad al Maliki as part of efforts to deepen Russian
relations with Middle Eastern actors.
•
The Kremlin’s domestic policy focus on the “Year of the Family” in 2024
is likely in part meant to address Russia’s ongoing demographic
crisis.
•
The Russian Baltic Fleet is conducting a coastal missile exercise
likely to posture against ongoing NATO Steadfast Defender 2024
exercises.
•
The Kremlin may intend to use the 2024 Russian presidential election as
a referendum on Russia’s war in Ukraine. • The Russian legal system is
expanding the prosecution of extortion cases to broadly suppress sources
of dissent.
•
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna,
Avdiivka, and Donetsk City amid continued positional engagements along
the entire line of contact on January 23.
•
Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) government chairperson Yevgeny Solntsev
announced on January 23 that a branch of the Russian Nakhimov Naval
School in occupied Mariupol will start instructing its first cadets on
September 1, 2024.
•
Russian occupation authorities are likely deliberately misrepresenting
population statistics in occupied areas to encourage people to relocated
to occupied settlements.
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