Key Takeaways:
•
The US Senate passed a supplemental appropriations bill that would
provide roughly $60 billion of security assistance to Ukraine, the vast
majority of which would go to US companies and personnel.
•
Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported that Russian
forces are attempting to restore maneuver to the battlefield through
Soviet deep battle theory but are struggling with implementing Soviet
deep battle so far due to current Ukrainian capabilities.
•
The current Ukrainian battlefield capabilities that are denying Russian
forces the ability to restore maneuver to the battlefield on Russian
terms largely depend on the provision of Western military assistance in
key systems, many of which only the US can provide at scale.
•
Ukrainian forces will not be able to retain these advantages and deny
Russian forces the ability to restore maneuver to the battlefield on
Russian terms without further assistance from the United States and its
partner countries in the near and medium term.
•
Russian sources are purposefully exaggerating Ukrainian casualties in a
Russian strike near Selydove, Donetsk Oblast on February 13.
•
The Kremlin appears to be asserting the right to enforce Russian
Federation law on officials of governments in NATO member states over
actions taken in the performance of their official duties within the
territories of their own countries.
•
US sanctions are reportedly constraining Russian efforts to skirt the
G7 oil cap amid continued indications that India may be rethinking its
growing position as a customer of Russian oil.
•
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna and in
western Zaporizhia Oblast amid continued positional engagements along
the entire frontline.
•
The British International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) think
tank stated on February 12 that Russia is likely able to sustain its
current rate of vehicle losses for at least two to three years by
producing new vehicles and reactivating vehicles from storage.
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